Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.076197 0.090578 0.106720 0.126150 0.148874 0.174579 0.205828
2025-02-16 0.054044 0.072433 0.095446 0.126231 0.166189 0.216141 0.283144
2025-02-23 0.042717 0.062977 0.090605 0.130734 0.187175 0.263316 0.373313
2025-03-02 0.032870 0.052602 0.081559 0.126655 0.194507 0.292024 0.441795
2025-03-09 0.026928 0.046292 0.076577 0.126663 0.206489 0.327541 0.523293
2025-03-16 0.022112 0.040589 0.071212 0.124687 0.214437 0.357215 0.598901
2025-03-23 0.019273 0.037528 0.069396 0.127806 0.230432 0.400717 0.700731
2025-03-30 0.016347 0.033687 0.065502 0.126563 0.238590 0.431985 0.785723
2025-04-06 0.013748 0.029921 0.061042 0.123451 0.242747 0.456528 0.861552
2025-04-13 0.011517 0.026425 0.056461 0.119285 0.244165 0.476033 0.930184
2025-04-20 0.010330 0.024865 0.055388 0.121690 0.258175 0.519712 1.047300
2025-04-27 0.009197 0.023196 0.053799 0.122753 0.269559 0.559512 1.161134
2025-05-04 0.008116 0.021470 0.051882 0.122994 0.279620 0.598509 1.279091
2025-05-11 0.007280 0.020167 0.050697 0.124667 0.292960 0.645650 1.418769
2025-05-18 0.006750 0.019521 0.050912 0.129516 0.313789 0.710372 1.601297
2025-05-25 0.005784 0.017533 0.047585 0.125567 0.314372 0.732466 1.696681
2025-06-01 0.005160 0.016341 0.046017 0.125596 0.324064 0.775181 1.840765
2025-06-08 0.004529 0.014988 0.043798 0.123641 0.328736 0.807166 1.964391
2025-06-15 0.004187 0.014419 0.043560 0.126737 0.346106 0.869779 2.163377
2025-06-22 0.003720 0.013360 0.041795 0.125504 0.352430 0.907300 2.308214
2025-06-29 0.003251 0.012183 0.039488 0.122417 0.353546 0.932476 2.426446
2025-07-06 0.002812 0.011003 0.036955 0.118283 0.351314 0.949182 2.525903
2025-07-13 0.002607 0.010591 0.036679 0.120669 0.367107 1.012474 2.746277